Mediterranean/2019/01M/Archive/3

Tropical Depression One-M	Winds: 30 kt
	Pressure: 1005 mbar
Advisory 3 / 6:00 AM EEST, Friday October 25, 2019
The depression in the eastern Mediterranean Sea remains disorganized, with convection elongated across a west-to-east axis and not centrally focused. Earlier scatterometer data also indicated that the center was elongated. Given little change in appearance since earlier, the initial intensity remains 30kt. Over the next day to day in a half, some development is possible while the system remains offshore. However, the expectation is that only minimal development would argue, and it remains possible that One-M fails to ever strengthen given its close proximity to land. Dissipation is expected about 48 hours from now, or perhaps a little sooner. One-M is drifting south tonight, but the system should curve toward the southeast tomorrow as it rounds the base of an upper-level trough nearby. This should send the cyclone into the Egyptian coastline a little over 24 hours from now. FORECAST MAX WINDS INIT 25/0300Z 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 25/1200Z 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 26/0000Z 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 26/1200Z 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 48H 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED
Forecaster TAWX14
THIS FORECAST IS NOT AN OFFICIAL PRODUCT