East Pacific/2019/20E/Archive/7

Tropical Storm Raymond	Winds: 35 kt
	Pressure: 1005 mbar
Advisory 7 / 8:00 PM MST, Friday, November 16, 2019
Raymond is a disorganized mess this evening. Associated convection waned throughout the past several hours, only recently firing near the elongated low-level circulation again. Satellite intensity estimates have fallen accordingly, barely supporting an initial intensity of 35kt, which is the strength used for this advisory. Upper-level winds will continue to increase and mid-level relative humidity values will continue to fall. The combination of those two hostile entities should cause Raymond to degenerate within 36 hours and dissipate by day 3; there is a distinct possibility this could occur earlier. The cyclone is currently moving toward the north, but a temporary bend toward the northeast is expected tomorrow before it bends back north-northwest. On this trajectory, Raymond or its remnants should skirt the coastline of the Baja California peninsula. FORECAST MAX WINDS INIT 17/0300Z 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 17/1200Z 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 18/0000Z 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 18/1200Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 19/0000Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
Forecaster TAWX14
THIS FORECAST IS NOT AN OFFICIAL PRODUCT