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Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 50

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

21:00 UTC Tue Aug 14

Hector has not changed in organization over the past 24 hours, with deep convection firing northwest of its center of circulation. The initial intensity thus remains 35kt, closest to a T2.3/33kt estimate from UW-CIMSS ADT. The environment has not been as favorable as indicated by models, and no further intensification is expected as a result. Instead, Hector should remain strength for the next 2 days or so before degenerating to a remnant low in about 48 hours and dissipate by day 4 as it rounds the western periphery of a mid- to upper-level ridge nearby.

MAXIMUM WINDS FORECAST

INIT 14/2100Z 35 KT 40 MPH

12H 15/0600Z 35 KT 40 MPH

24H 15/1800Z 35 KT 40 MPH

36H 16/0600Z 30 KT 35 MPH

48H 16/1800Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

72H 17/1800Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

96H 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED