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Tropical Depression Fabio Discussion Number 24

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

8:00 PM PDT Thu Jul 5 2018

Some high-level cirrus is the only thing that separates Fabio from a non-convective remnant area of low pressure this evening. Satellite intensity estimates have fallen to T1.5/25kt from SAB and T2.0/30kt from TAFB and UW-CIMSS ADT. A blend of these estimates supports decreasing the intensity down to 30kt, making Fabio a tropical depression. Now crossing the 21°C isotherm and expected to enter 19°C waters within a few hours, any semblance of deep convection is unlikely to return, and Fabio is expected to become a remnant low tonight. Dissipation is expected within 48 hours.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/0300Z 30 KT 35 MPH

12H 06/1200Z 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

24H 07/0000Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

36H 07/1200Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

48H 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED