Tropical Depression Emilia Discussion Number 14

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

2:00 AM PDT Sun Jul 1 2018

The deep convection associated with Emilia has continued to persist for the past few hours. Although satellite intensity estimates support a lower value, the initial intensity has been left at 30kt under the assumption strong winds are occurring under the most intense thunderstorm activity. Although wind shear has finally fallen, the storm is moving over ocean temperatures near or under 25°C, and mid-level relative humidity values have dropped to near 50 percent. Thus, Emilia is expected to degenerate to a remnant low by tonight before dissipating in 48 hours.

INIT 01/0900Z 30 KT 35 MPH

12H 01/1800Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

24H 02/0600Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

36H 02/1800Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

48H 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

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