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Tropical Depression Emilia Discussion Number 13

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

8:00 PM PDT Sat Jun 30 2018

Emilia is barely holding on as a tropical cyclone. It spent most of the day as a convection-less area of low pressure, with multiple vortices rotating within a broader center. Recently, an area of deep convection has formed to the southwest of the low. Satellite intensity estimates have decreased to T1.5/25kt from SAB and T1.0/20kt from TAFB. The initial intensity, however, has been left at 30kt under the assumption the recent convection is helping maintain the small area of strongest winds that existed earlier. The track forecast remains unchanged, and Emilia is expected to continue on its west-northwest track until dissipation in 72 hours or less.

INIT 01/0300Z 30 KT 35 MPH

12H 01/1200Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

24H 02/0000Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

36H 02/1200Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

48H 03/0000Z 15 KT 20 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

72H 04/0000Z ... DISSIPATED

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