Tropical Storm Barry Winds: 35 kt
Pressure: 1007 mbar
Advisory 15 / 10:00 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019

Barry has become progressively diffuse this morning as it continues to track generally northward, with surface observations suggesting that the broadening center is roughly 20 miles northwest of Natchitoches. The strongest convection and winds remain displaced well southeast of the center, localized in a band stretching from Alexandria to New Iberia and transitioning to a large amorphous region over the Gulf of Mexico south of Galveston. The highest winds from land obversations are only about 15 kt. The highest directly sampled marine winds at both surface and elevated stations was 26 kt. However, doppler velocities from the radar site in Lake Charles show winds aloft of 45-49 kt, and the areas where the strongest winds are located are not well-sampled. Thus, the intensity for this advisory has been reduced slightly to 35 kt. These gale-force winds are all localized offshore.

With steering currents still marginal, Barry is expected to largely remain in Louisiana or perhaps eastern Texas for most of the today. The weakening storm's present motion is still slightly west of north, but should slowly veer north and later northeast over the next two days as it traverses the edges of a low-level ridge over Florida. Without much semblance of organized convective activity near its center, Barry is expected to degenerate into a remnant low in roughly two days with dissipation in three.


INIT 14/1500Z 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND

12H 15/0000Z 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND

24H 15/1200Z 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND

36H 16/0000Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

48H 16/1200Z 15 KT 20 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

72H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

Forecaster TheAustinMan
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